OTA steps 3-5: Update Service, Probation and Rollback, Update from SD

- EcdsaVerifier (mbedTLS, embedded public key) and EspOtaSink (writes
  the inactive app slot, esp_ota_end validates the image, then sets
  the boot partition)
- UpdateService: listens on TCP 3232 (and mDNS roro9stack-<id>) while
  Wi-Fi is Connected; streams into UpdateParser; replies OK/ERR to the
  sender; remembers the pending version so a Rollback is reported
  after the reboot
- Probation (host-tested): confirm after the first frame + 30 s + Wi-Fi
  (if configured); roll back if configured Wi-Fi never connects in 3 min
- Main loop: full-screen progress while receiving; restart once
  installed, waiting up to 60 s for Text Entry to end
- Settings > Firmware: version, Probation status, push address and
  name, and the .ota files in /updates on the SD card to install
- StorageService.runJob() runs work on the storage task (SD installs)
- wifi status prints IP and running version; RORO_TEST_CRASH test hook

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01EhqxQ49eCju4CzKYNjZzwT

lib/ota/src/probation.h

@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
+#pragma once
+
+#include <cstdint>
+
+namespace roro {
+
+// Decides when new firmware on Probation (see CONTEXT.md) has proven healthy, or has failed in a
+// way that would leave no means to push a fix (Wi-Fi configured but never connecting).
+class Probation {
+   public:
+    enum class Verdict { Wait, Confirm, RollBack };
+    static constexpr uint32_t kHealthyAfterMs = 30000;
+    static constexpr uint32_t kWifiDeadlineMs = 180000;
+
+    static Verdict judge(uint32_t uptimeMs, bool firstFrameDrawn, bool wifiConfigured, bool wifiConnected) {
+        if (wifiConfigured && !wifiConnected && uptimeMs >= kWifiDeadlineMs) return Verdict::RollBack;
+        if (uptimeMs < kHealthyAfterMs || !firstFrameDrawn) return Verdict::Wait;
+        if (wifiConfigured && !wifiConnected) return Verdict::Wait;
+        return Verdict::Confirm;
+    }
+};
+
+}  // namespace roro